On Forecasting
There are (at least) two major short-comings to today’s forecasting approaches. First, forecasters are using increasingly narrow definitions so they aren’t seeing things in the broader context. Secondly (and related), forecasters largely fail to look beyond what is seen – many of today’s forecasts are just projections of the current state of affairs. Taken together, […]
Universal (content) Search
Universal search – the ability to search for content across sources – is one of the holy grails of consumer content management. Over the last 5-6 years search has improved significantly and become more ubiquitous. Google Desktop is a great search tool across locally stored files. I’ve written in the past about Xobni and the ability to search and organize across […]
BBY, Connected TVs, and the Innovator’s Dilemma in Action
BestBuy recently announced they would launch a connected TV under the Insignia brand using the Tivo user interface. This is a great example of the Innovator’s Dilemma in action. The Insignia brand is one of Best Buy’s house brands. It (like other private label brands) is frequently used as the opening price point for devices. House brands tend to […]
When is Technology Evolution Guaranteed
A recent article on the slow uptake of 3DTV raises the question: when is technology evolution certain?
The Future of Curation
I’ve written about curation in the past. One of the keys to curation – one of the driving features to why curation matters – is discovery. Curation drives discovery which drives more curation. The battle within curation today – and in the years to come – is how curation is done. There are a variety of web services that empower the individual […]
Understanding Diffusion – Where Major Research Firms Fail
I think a lot about how technology diffuses through a society. The implications of technology diffusion are more pronounced today than ever before. Not enough diffusion of innovation modeling goes into the current thinking on device ownership and unit volume. More, large research vendors need to sell reports so they frequently release reports touting large estimates. It […]